Normal (Gaussian)

X∼N(μ,σ2)X \sim \mathcal{N}(\mu, \sigma^2)

The symmetric bell curve, fully described by its centre μ and its spread σ. It appears whenever many small, independent effects add up.

The story

Add together lots of small, independent nudges, and the total tends to follow a bell curve whatever the nudges looked like individually. That is the Central Limit Theorem, and it is why the Normal turns up in measurement errors, heights and test scores, and underlies so much of classical statistics.

The curve is centred on μ\mu, which is its mean, median and mode all at once, and σ\sigma sets its width. A handy rule: about 68% of the probability lies within 1σ1\sigma of the mean, about 95% within 2σ2\sigma (1.96σ1.96\sigma, to be precise), and about 99.7% within 3σ3\sigma.

Formulas

Support

x∈Rx \in \mathbb{R}

PDF

f(x)=1σ2π e−(x−μ)22σ2f(x) = \frac{1}{\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}}\, e^{-\frac{(x-\mu)^2}{2\sigma^2}}

CDF

F(x)=12[1+erf⁡ ⁣(x−μσ2)]F(x) = \tfrac{1}{2}\left[1 + \operatorname{erf}\!\left(\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma\sqrt{2}}\right)\right]

Expectation

E[X]=μ\mathbb{E}[X] = \mu

Variance

Var⁡(X)=σ2\operatorname{Var}(X) = \sigma^2

Mode

μ\mu

Parameters

ParameterWhat it controls
μ\muThe mean, and the centre of symmetry. Changing it slides the bell left or right without changing its shape.
σ\sigmaThe standard deviation. Larger σ\sigma makes the bell wider and lower; the variance is σ2\sigma^2.

Where it shows up

  • Adult heights within a population.
  • Random measurement error in a laboratory instrument.
  • Standardised test scores, which are often scaled to be roughly Normal.
  • The noise term in linear regression, which is classically assumed to be Normal.

Try this

  1. Shade the interval from μ−σ\mu - \sigma to μ+σ\mu + \sigma and read off about 0.683. Change μ\mu and σ\sigma and re-shade: the answer never changes, because every Normal is just a shifted and stretched copy of the standard one.
  2. Set μ=0\mu = 0, σ=1\sigma = 1 and shade from −1.96-1.96 to 1.961.96. The probability is 0.95, the source of the 1.96 in every 95% confidence interval.
  3. Switch to Sample means and move nn from 1 to 25. The histogram stays Normal but narrows by a factor of n\sqrt{n}: at n=25n = 25 its spread is σ/5\sigma/5.

Related distributions

  • If ZZ is standard Normal, then Z2Z^2 is Chi-squared with 1 degree of freedom, and a sum of kk squared standard Normals is Chi-squared with kk.
  • The Student t tends to the Normal as ν→∞\nu \to \infty.
  • If XX is Normal(μ,σ2)\text{Normal}(\mu, \sigma^2), then eXe^X is Log-normal with parameters μ\mu and σ\sigma.
  • The Binomial and the Poisson are both well approximated by a Normal when nn or λ\lambda is large.